EVIDENCE-BASED DECISION SUPPORT
Argentina
Argentina — Low birth weight
For Argentina, a scenario aimed at reducing low birth weight was modeled. Social, educational, health-related, and territorial variables were taken into account, prioritizing those that the model allowed to be modified within a counterfactual scenario: beneficiaries of the Potenciar Trabajo program, households with unmet basic needs, households with a mobile phone, educational level of the head of household, coverage through government health plans or programs, and peri-urban nighttime light radiance.
These variables were selected because they represent structural dimensions associated with living conditions, access to resources, education, social protection, and the territorial environment. Compared with other variables in the model, priority was given to those that could be more clearly translated into public policy changes or social interventions. The scenario estimated a reduction of nearly 2 percentage points in low birth weight, reaching a final prevalence of 11.99%.
Argentina's Dashboard
Work Packages
Data Architecture
- Identification and standardization of variables across scales; development of indicators
- Analysis of spatial patterns and factors associated with Food and Nutrition Security pillars
- Geospatial characterization of community food environments: individual (socioeconomic), environmental (water/food access & availability; physical-climate), political (public policies linked to health and food)
- Integration of environmental conditions via satellite data
- Evaluation of vulnerability and resilience to climate change
AI Model Training
- Definition and development of a FNS metric; training and validation of predictive AI models
- Simulation of future scenarios at 10, 30, and 50 years based on climate change and public policy interventions
Climate and Public Policy Scenario Simulator
Build an interactive and dynamic dashboard capable of simulating future scenarios based on climate change and policy interventions
Enable decision-makers to explore different intervention pathways and their projected impacts on Food and Nutrition Security
Virtual Assistant
Implement a virtual assistant (chatbot) powered by a GPT-style generative model to help users access and interpret dashboard outputs and simulations
Execute dashboard models in the background
Provide automated responses and personalized recommendations for decision-makers in real time